Hunting and Snooping: Understanding the Neyman-Pearson Predesigna tionist Stance
نویسنده
چکیده
If in sampling any class, say theM's, we first decide what the character Pis for which we propose to sample that class, and also how many instances we propose to draw, our inference is really made before these latter are drawn, that the proportion of P's in the whole class is probably about the same as among the instances that are to be drawn .... But suppose we were to draw our inferences without the predesignation of the character P; then we might in every case find some recondite character in which those instances would all agree. That, by the exercise of sufficient ingenuity, we should be sure to be able to do this, even if not a single other object of the class M possessed that character, is a matter of demonstration. For in geometry a curve may be drawn through any given series of points.
منابع مشابه
Models and Statistical Inference: The Controversy between Fisher and Neyman–Pearson
The main thesis of the paper is that in the case of modern statistics, the differences between the various concepts of models were the key to its formative controversies. The mathematical theory of statistical inference was mainly developed by Ronald A. Fisher, Jerzy Neyman, and Egon S. Pearson. Fisher on the one side and Neyman–Pearson on the other were involved often in a polemic controversy....
متن کاملDetection and Classification of Heart Premature Contractions via α-Level Binary Neyman-Pearson Radius Test: A Comparative Study
The aim of this study is to introduce a new methodology for isolation of ectopic rhythms of ambulatory electrocardiogram (ECG) holter data via appropriate statistical analyses imposing reasonable computational burden. First, the events of the ECG signal are detected and delineated using a robust wavelet-based algorithm. Then, using Binary Neyman-Pearson Radius test, an appropriate classifie...
متن کاملDeborah G. Mayo Did Pearson Reject the Neyman-pearson Philosophy of Statistics?*
I document some of the main evidence showing that E. S. Pearson rejected the key features of the behavioral-decision philosophy that became associated with the Neyman-Pearson Theory of statistics (NPT). I argue that NPT principles arose not out of behavioral aims, where the concern is solely with behaving correctly sufficiently often in some long run, but out of the epistemological aim of learn...
متن کاملToward a Fundamental Understanding of Multiresolution SAR Signatures
A physical optics formalism is used to establish a first-principles analysis for discriminating specular returns from diffuse returns in a 1-D synthetic aperture radar. The optimum Neyman-Pearson detection processor is shown to substantially outperform the conventional, full-resolution SAR imager for extended specular targets embedded in diffuse clutter plus receiver noise. Significant performa...
متن کاملPerformance of the Neyman-Pearson Receiver for a Binary Thermal Coherent State Signal
The performance of the quantum NeymanPearson receiver for a binary coherent state signal in the presence of thermal noise is numerically investigated. To see the detection sensitivity of the quantum Neyman-Pearson receiver, its receiver operating characteristics (ROC) are numerically obtained. The performance limit of the quantum Neyman-Pearson receiver is directly computed when the false alarm...
متن کامل